{"id":21451,"date":"2021-12-01T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-30T20:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/"},"modified":"2022-03-01T14:38:41","modified_gmt":"2022-03-01T10:38:41","slug":"uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/es\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/","title":{"rendered":"UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength in Gulf countries, says Moody\u2019s | SP Investment"},"content":{"rendered":"<header>\n<header>\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-sm-12 col-md-3 gn-col-share text-md-right\">\n<div class=\"article-share gn-media-share-links\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"article-body\">\n<figure class=\"article-main-image media-landscape pull-left\"><picture><source srcset=\"https:\/\/imagevars.gulfnews.com\/2020\/12\/22\/Abu-Dhabi-skyline._1768ba6ae6d_large.jpg\" media=\"(min-width: 1024px)\" \/><source srcset=\"https:\/\/imagevars.gulfnews.com\/2020\/12\/22\/Abu-Dhabi-skyline._1768ba6ae6d_large.jpg\" media=\"(min-width: 750px)\" \/><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/spinvestment.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Abu-Dhabi-skyline._1768ba6ae6d_medium.jpg\" alt=\"Abu Dhabi skyline.\" \/><\/picture><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"article-main-image media-landscape pull-left\"><figcaption class=\"image-caption\">Abu Dhabi skyline. The UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength than their other GCC peers, thanks to their large sovereign wealth fund (SWF) reserves relative to their fiscal deficits.<span class=\"image-credit\">Image Credit: Shutterstock<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div class=\"related-package\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Dubai: The UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength than their other GCC peers, thanks to their large sovereign wealth fund (SWF) buffers\u00a0relative to their fiscal deficits, according to rating agency Moody\u2019s.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>The COVID-19 related fall in oil revenue has eroded fiscal strength of many GCC countries and constrained economic recovery, resulting in lingering pressure on their sovereign credit strengths, according to Moody\u2019s.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>The rating agency expects that it will take 2-3 years for real GDP in GCC sovereigns to return to pre-pandemic levels.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>\u201cOur negative outlook for GCC sovereigns reflects the coronavirus pandemic\u2019s impact on oil revenue and our expectations for the erosion of fiscal strength experienced last year to extend throughout 2021,\u201d said Thaddeus Best, a Moody\u2019s Analyst.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>\u201cThe still elevated cost of funding for lower-rated sovereigns in the region will amplify these strains.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<h3>Lower spending<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Moody\u2019s expects subdued oil revenue will constrain government spending in 2021. Global oil demand is vulnerable to any subsequent flare-ups in the coronavirus outbreak and further government lockdowns, which could hurt oil prices and delay the planned easing of production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Analysts said the Capacity of GCC sovereigns to reduce expenditure after drop in oil prices is strongly correlated with institutional strength.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>\u201cWe estimate that the UAE and Qatar \u2013 which have the strongest institutions and governance scores in the region \u2013 made the largest cuts to expenditure in 2020. We expect that this discipline will persist throughout 2021, with spending remaining significantly below pre-pandemic levels, despite a year-on-year increase in the UAE,\u201d said Best.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>In Saudi Arabia, the government is likely to push through spending cuts in 2021 after coronavirus-related costs delayed a planned tightening in expenditure in 2020.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Limited market access will keep Oman\u2019s expenditure low. The government announced several fiscal consolidation measures in 2020, which it is likely to maintain into 2021. These include a 10 per cent cut in noninterest spending \u2013 double what it committed to in March 2020 \u2013 and government wage bill reforms. It will also introduce value added tax (VAT) in April 2021.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"adv adv-loaded adv-bg\">\n<div id=\"gulfnews_business_article_21610455424406\" class=\"label-adv\" data-gpt=\"Gulfnews_Article\/gulfnews_business_article\/gulfnews_business_article_2\" data-atf=\"0\" data-size=\"[320,50]\" data-size-mapping=\"[ [ [ 1024, 500 ], [ [300,100], [300,250], [710,250], [710,400], [1,1], [336,280], [&quot;fluid&quot;] ] ],[ [ 768, 420], [ [300,100], [300,250], [710,250], [710,400], [1,1], [336,280] ] ],[ [640, 320], [ [300,250], [300,100], [1,1], [336,280] ] ],[ [0, 0], [ [300,250], [300,100], [1,1], [336,280] ] ] ]\" data-google-query-id=\"CLjJ5Pu1lu4CFVOkhQodGmYD4Q\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/1019334\/GULFNEWS\/Gulfnews_Article\/gulfnews_business_article\/gulfnews_business_article_2_0__container__\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Spending is forecast to stay above pre-pandemic levels in Kuwait and Bahrain, largely driven by public sector wage bills in Kuwait and already committed 2020 budget spending in Bahrain.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<h3>Elevated deficits<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Moody\u2019s expects GCC fiscal deficits to narrow only modestly in GCC in 2021.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>\u201cWe forecast the median fiscal deficit to remain wide at 6 per cent of GDP in 2021, driving a further deterioration in fiscal strength, which will be most acute in Bahrain, Oman and Saudi Arabia,\u201d said Alexander Perjessy an analyst at Moody\u2019s.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<figure class=\"media-portrait pull-left\"><picture><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/spinvestment.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/GCC-fiscal-deficits_176eb9e2189_original-ratio.jpg\" alt=\"GCC fiscal deficits\" \/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"image-caption\">GCC fiscal deficits<span class=\"image-credit\">Image Credit: Moody&#8217;s<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<h3>Debt burden<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Increase in debt burdens for GCC sovereigns will be among the largest globally. \u201cWe forecast that debt will rise on average by around 21 percentage points of GDP over 2019-21 across the GCC, compared with an average of 12 percentage points for emerging markets and 14 percentage points for advanced economies,\u201d said Perjessy.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"adv adv-loaded adv-bg\">\n<div id=\"gulfnews_business_article_31610455432105\" class=\"label-adv\" data-gpt=\"Gulfnews_Article\/gulfnews_business_article\/gulfnews_business_article_3\" data-atf=\"0\" data-size=\"[320,50]\" data-size-mapping=\"[ [ [ 1024, 500 ], [ [300,100], [300,250], [710,250], [710,400], [1,1], [336,280], [&quot;fluid&quot;] ] ],[ [ 768, 420], [ [300,100], [300,250], [710,250], [710,400], [1,1], [336,280] ] ],[ [640, 320], [ [300,250], [300,100], [1,1], [336,280] ] ],[ [0, 0], [ [300,250], [300,100], [1,1], [336,280] ] ] ]\" data-google-query-id=\"CO-blf-1lu4CFcqChQodNKIE0w\">\n<div id=\"google_ads_iframe_\/1019334\/GULFNEWS\/Gulfnews_Article\/gulfnews_business_article\/gulfnews_business_article_3_0__container__\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>GCC governments with relatively high fiscal breakevens, including Bahrain and Kuwait, will see the largest increases of 33.8 percentage points and 37.5 percentage points respectively. The debt burdens of those with lower breakevens, such as Qatar and the UAE, will rise by only four percentage points and 11 percentage points respectively.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<h3>SWF buffers<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) will mitigate impact of higher gross debt burdens of GCC countries. While analysts expect that the largest rise in debt burden will be in Kuwait, the government\u2019s exceptionally strong balance sheet will mitigate the impact on fiscal strength.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<figure class=\"media-portrait pull-left\"><picture><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/spinvestment.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/GCC-SWF-reserves_176eb9f859e_original-ratio.jpg\" alt=\"GCC SWF reserves\" \/><\/picture><figcaption class=\"image-caption\">GCC SWF reserves<span class=\"image-credit\">Image Credit: Moody&#8217;s<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>\u201cWhile the UAE\u2019s and Qatar\u2019s SWF assets will remain smaller than Kuwait\u2019s relative to GDP at 124 per cent and 163 per cent respectively, their fiscal deficits are also much narrower. This implies that their SWF assets would cover deficit spending for a much longer period of time than in Kuwait,\u201d said Best<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"story-block\">\n<p>In Saudi Arabia and Oman, government debt burdens now exceed the SWF asset stock, and Moody\u2019s expects the net asset positions to fall to negative balances of 18 per cent and 65 per cent of GDP by 2021.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/header>\n<div class=\"adv adv-loaded adv-bg\">\n<div id=\"gulfnews_business_textad1610455434528\" class=\"label-adv\" data-gpt=\"Gulfnews_TextAd\/gulfnews_business_textad\" data-atf=\"0\" data-size=\"[320,50]\" data-size-mapping=\"[ [ [ 1024, 500 ], [ [728,90] ] ],[ [ 768, 420], [ [728,90] ] ],[ [640, 320], [ [320,50], [300,250], [336,280] ] ],[ [0, 0], [ [320,50], [300,250], [336,280] ] ] ]\" data-google-query-id=\"CP3ZzYC2lu4CFYg_GwodEBYLgA\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/gulfnews.com\/business\/banking\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-1.76390624\">Source<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Abu Dhabi skyline. The UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength than their other GCC peers, thanks to their large sovereign wealth fund (SWF) reserves relative to their fiscal deficits.Image Credit: Shutterstock &nbsp; Dubai: The UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength than their other GCC peers, thanks to their large sovereign wealth fund (SWF) buffers\u00a0relative to their fiscal deficits, according to rating agency &#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21452,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[58],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21451","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v20.1 (Yoast SEO v25.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength in Gulf countries, says Moody\u2019s | SP Investment - SP Real Estate Investment<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/es\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength in Gulf countries, says Moody\u2019s | SP Investment - SP Real Estate Investment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Abu Dhabi skyline. The UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength than their other GCC peers, thanks to their large sovereign wealth fund (SWF) reserves relative to their fiscal deficits.Image Credit: Shutterstock &nbsp; Dubai: The UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength than their other GCC peers, thanks to their large sovereign wealth fund (SWF) buffers\u00a0relative to their fiscal deficits, according to rating agency ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/es\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"SP Real Estate Investment\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/spinvestmentre\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-11-30T20:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-03-01T10:38:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/Abu-Dhabi-skyline._1768ba6ae6d_large.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"750\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"563\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"spadmin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@spinvestmentre\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@spinvestmentre\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"spadmin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"spadmin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/#\/schema\/person\/c1deaa444983fd0e210fe06aec78a628\"},\"headline\":\"UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength in Gulf countries, says Moody\u2019s | SP Investment\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-11-30T20:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-03-01T10:38:41+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/\"},\"wordCount\":719,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/Abu-Dhabi-skyline._1768ba6ae6d_large.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Real Estate\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.spinvestment.com\/uae-and-qatar-have-greater-fiscal-strength-in-gulf-countries-says-moodys-sp-investment\/\",\"name\":\"UAE and Qatar have greater fiscal strength in Gulf countries, says Moody\u2019s | SP Investment - 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